[Mpls] Election Predictions

[Greg Abbott]

On Nov 8, 2005, at 12:24 PM, ken bradley wrote:

>
> I know that my predictions will be disputed by both friends and  
> foe, but decided to send them out anyways. The results do not  
> reflect my own personal bias but rather by best guess considering  
> all the factors.

OK, my turn:

Mayor:  RT 55%,  McLaughlin 45%   (after getting distracted by the  
smoking ban debate, McLaughlin never got back on track)

Easily elected or re-elected:  Ostrow (1), Hofstede (3), Johnson (4),  
Goodman (7), Schiff (9), Benson (11), Colvin Roy (12)

Ward 2 -- Letofsky  (Gordon will not do as well as he did in 2001)

Ward 5 -- Johnson Lee  (just a hunch - the new ward boundaries  
include more of her old turf)

Ward 6 -- Lilligren

Ward 8 -- Hauser  (all the hoopla about the mailing will have little  
effect on the voters, and Hauser has a hell of an organization)

Ward 10 -- Remington (Scott Persons is a friend of mine.  Sorry,  
Scott -- the power of demogogery is hard to overcome)

Ward 13 -- McDonald  (Hodges has been somewhat quiet down the  
stretch, leading to speculation she's running out of money. McDonald,  
OTOH, has put out some very good lit in the last 2-3 weeks.)

Park Board:

at-large -- Annie Young, Mary Merrill Anderson, and Tom Nordyke   
(outside chance of Meg Forney instead of Nordyke)

districts -- Jason Stone beats Carol Kummer, but Bob Fine defeats Jim  
Bernstein.  Tracy Nordstrom wins.  Tracy and Bob spend the next four  
years arguing.    Vreeland wins, replacing Hauser.

result - current majority of 5-4 is maintained.  Could be 6-3 if  
Kummer wins.

Library Board:

Thaden, Krueger, Waterman Wittstock, Hooker, Mains, Duckor

Board of Estimate & Taxation

Becker, Schwimmer

Anxiously awaiting results . . .

Greg Abbott
Linden Hills